AResearch only
Winner Tape
Control
polymarket_winning_sideSample0
Accepted0
Rejected0
LCB0
Local evidence report
paper-live-20260708T013618Z
Trading disabledP4 live ready falseAuth endpoint calls 0Forbidden endpoint calls 0
Run state
Summary
Markets0
Opportunities0
Diagnostics25
Accepted0
Rejected0
Wait0
Simulated orders0
Demo cash1000
Demo equity1000
Demo realized PnL0
Demo open PnL0
Estimated PnL0
Drawdown0
Lower confidence bound0
Auth endpoint calls0
Paper portfolio
Demo Account
Starting balance1000
Cash balance1000
Equity1000
Realized PnL0
Open PnL0
Open Position Value0
Total staked0
Total fees0
Open positions0
Resolved positions0
Control Center
Strategy Lab
BResearch only
Reference Price
Control
external_price_confirms_thresholdSample0
Accepted0
Rejected0
LCB0
CNeeds sample
Confluence EV
Primary
reference_price_plus_orderbook_plus_evSample0
Accepted0
Rejected0
LCB0
DResearch only
Wallet Overlay
Research
confluence_ev_plus_profitable_wallet_contextSample0
Accepted0
Rejected0
LCB0
Paper-only run plan
Daily Config
Data API research
Wallet Intelligence
Tracked wallets0
Sample size0
Entry signalfalse
Safety boundary
Source
Source DB
var/paper-live/paper-live-20260708t013618z/paper.sqliteSnapshot createdFalse
Snapshot path
SQLite sidecars[]
Paper-live report loadedTrue
Paper-live report
reports/paper-live/paper-live-20260708t013618z.jsonPaper-live
Market Diagnostics
| Market | Decision | Stage | Reason | Oracle | Threshold | Rule cutoff | Question | Raw payload hash |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2758036 | unknown | time-window | outside_final_window | binance | 50000 | 2026-07-08T16:00:00+00:00 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $50,000 on July 8? | c1c5c7b156c24641bea3bda3486c0d67ed544c59006013148ca5a76e691d4ef8 |
| 2758041 | unknown | time-window | outside_final_window | binance | 52000 | 2026-07-08T16:00:00+00:00 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on July 8? | 0d6b5a44d225f16e2fd34708b1c91cda69bf63a8b2b76a1356e0ea49ee7ec5e3 |
| 2758043 | unknown | time-window | outside_final_window | binance | 54000 | 2026-07-08T16:00:00+00:00 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on July 8? | 93c23fe13f934501fc94163ebb0b07335800b5964fe0dcbe9be44b9c701d3f86 |
| 2758046 | unknown | time-window | outside_final_window | binance | 56000 | 2026-07-08T16:00:00+00:00 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on July 8? | 684f48fafeda9c024d5ba01bd219f1558deee916ca97ebe8a1d409b049c305fa |
| 2758048 | unknown | time-window | outside_final_window | binance | 58000 | 2026-07-08T16:00:00+00:00 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 8? | 8ad4a891700328e8304cce10fd2126057e2ddff7e8ca4b4fc2081a9577d27b0c |
| 2758053 | unknown | time-window | outside_final_window | binance | 60000 | 2026-07-08T16:00:00+00:00 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 8? | 226ae845e27a680ad7e1915b3735fcf4a93f2355efdd32ccc0372e64fa3e91b6 |
| 2758060 | unknown | time-window | outside_final_window | binance | 62000 | 2026-07-08T16:00:00+00:00 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 8? | b944273ed69144ba5610658b8bf59b1b9598a78d1e9102a111bd336542e422f5 |
| 2758063 | unknown | time-window | outside_final_window | binance | 64000 | 2026-07-08T16:00:00+00:00 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 8? | 7d210666a7e17dab96a9210ed7f1fae6408bd915292148911c448108274b981b |
| 2758067 | unknown | time-window | outside_final_window | binance | 66000 | 2026-07-08T16:00:00+00:00 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 8? | f5aebc4945e0a80721fa2943c3c215c045407341d98b843bbe85576902a2c54f |
| 2758069 | unknown | time-window | outside_final_window | binance | 68000 | 2026-07-08T16:00:00+00:00 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 8? | bd3eed0b44e8e82aa63b91eb052f7c32807024d4d1119ef430aba0d8e30afc2e |
| 2758074 | unknown | time-window | outside_final_window | binance | 70000 | 2026-07-08T16:00:00+00:00 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on July 8? | 243cc208927dbe8e22d0ed43f3d46d3831eacb3028f98aed43a30d0a715c3498 |
| 2769746 | unknown | time-window | outside_final_window | binance | 52000 | 2026-07-09T16:00:00+00:00 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on July 9? | fbb675aafd26a3d81cab4a688e5a5c0dfe820861e57bdedd81515886ee6faab4 |
| 2769749 | unknown | time-window | outside_final_window | binance | 54000 | 2026-07-09T16:00:00+00:00 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on July 9? | 559c9f04e42acc8ad0ecb4ea5380353d299d8a0eeafaae4c8d1085cef20f46e5 |
| 2769752 | unknown | time-window | outside_final_window | binance | 56000 | 2026-07-09T16:00:00+00:00 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on July 9? | c88f57e30d5047ebff66ae34882e4fd40a454d10fe26ab24a91b68f15302fbec |
| 2769759 | unknown | time-window | outside_final_window | binance | 58000 | 2026-07-09T16:00:00+00:00 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 9? | e085426c64f3cf6adbd73bb67463b01285a6534bfb99925805b1f694320d0fb1 |
| 2769764 | unknown | time-window | outside_final_window | binance | 60000 | 2026-07-09T16:00:00+00:00 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 9? | 70a6002587ab307931216320ccd2501b405654b026349fd30fee23d3793801ae |
| 2769771 | unknown | time-window | outside_final_window | binance | 62000 | 2026-07-09T16:00:00+00:00 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 9? | f7b4bcab2888f7b529a8914fcc32bf53efa178783b2e8084a059673ac1e5aad7 |
| 2769775 | unknown | time-window | outside_final_window | binance | 64000 | 2026-07-09T16:00:00+00:00 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 9? | f8a09c357c5e1183beffdc8ee4d0559c0902e777c3c8bf98f44979e37c4341be |
| 2769779 | unknown | time-window | outside_final_window | binance | 66000 | 2026-07-09T16:00:00+00:00 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 9? | 1bea04049fd6bb7b1f820daed0df6e2ba470761a2290fd747cec2d32a1a1b248 |
| 2769784 | unknown | time-window | outside_final_window | binance | 68000 | 2026-07-09T16:00:00+00:00 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 9? | daf21a1b4b4b07eef03b2f6d87c97e3b4be8c22eee1891e75c9e131ee1830e9c |
| 2769788 | unknown | time-window | outside_final_window | binance | 70000 | 2026-07-09T16:00:00+00:00 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on July 9? | 8a72936ae8b7ebf34583cb7aa5befecaa55459252e4c0d0479f05c0d9a82863a |
| 2769791 | unknown | time-window | outside_final_window | binance | 72000 | 2026-07-09T16:00:00+00:00 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on July 9? | 034deef52a792a8374d7ae9827528072a0f57279123ddf51d5fbd8718b92182b |
| 2784684 | unknown | time-window | outside_final_window | binance | 52000 | 2026-07-10T16:00:00+00:00 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on July 10? | 8a2c411523ed14d1f4d4feed491ef1c31736f3e830515b8ee2c5bbd4e301cfdd |
| 2784686 | unknown | time-window | outside_final_window | binance | 54000 | 2026-07-10T16:00:00+00:00 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on July 10? | 35a43e679adae6241996e59d34261fa3a86a84d5080f6733b552173117394017 |
| 2784689 | unknown | time-window | outside_final_window | binance | 56000 | 2026-07-10T16:00:00+00:00 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on July 10? | 111d7799514d01f8ea38d0e9539410e6cc76b15489e2697801297cec31bdabac |
SQLite ledgers
Markets
No market rows persisted.
Execution ledger
Decisions
No decisions persisted.
Traceability
Snapshot Drill-Down
No snapshots to inspect.